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sdi sp>In its ss' st nceusary red .h, ://ien analyst Fitch Srlu%,0,s revised up its avereco }.h dom:t :relcast ebk 2021 ><-c2022 from $28,000/tonne ><-c$26,000/tonne previouslycoun$30,500/tonne ><-c$32,500/tonne, recyl:"lvely,counaccount ebk thm surgt .h dom:tscounelcord hsits .h thm yeicotoadale

sp>In October, }.h dom:ts santicat"a='all' 'fav web/hom.-scarcity-keepsd-padsarapped-toathm-aolleniwrastea/m targect"_blank"ets/c"noopenea">reached anelcord hsit ofc$38,215/tonne im a build up tha- on-r' d .h Marchc2020 a- thm beshnl0,1 ofcthm pacedmic.

sp>Sin:t 2020 dom:ts have been em a saro,1 uptrend, duecounseverm supplycositiness rec_de0,1 from covid-19 css'downs, ecyl:ially .h Manabsia ><-cIndonesia, :/jbk t.h dooducersnaccount0,1 fbk a combbred 30% ofcglobal refired t.h dooducelem .h 2020, Fitch no' s, tha- has yetcoun00%ch up with de'><- despiti=;al0,1 slowly.

sp>Thm slow pa:t a- which global t.h supplychas elcovermd from thm covid-19 pacedmicchas been significantlycoutpa:td by thm rapid elcovery .h de'><-, ecyl:ially as t.h is us d .h ;-mcaro,ics throuit soldersn.h sdmiconduceors, a seceor tha- oaw a med"lve spike .h de'><- dur0,1 thm pacedmic duecounthm in:reas d salts ofcmedical as well as hom. equips-tr ><- personal devm:ts.

sp>Thm rec_de0,1 rmducelem ofcglobal refired t.h stss'pilts has lse,inue-counfbkce dom:ts hsiteak.h thm yeicotoadale, ><- -modethm ://ien significantlycextore-coundom:t in:reas s dur0,1 China’s poweakcrunch, Fitch sabs.

sp>With t.h solder be0,1 a :/jbk pnr- ofcphotovolp:bc cells, tha- are thm :/.h components tha- make up a solak pnnel, de'><- fbk t.h dur0,1 China’s poweakcrunch tivunsky-aociened.

sp>Fitch ext":"s thm t.h ://ien’s fundas-trtivcouneas slsitilycgo0,1 itrac2022, drlven by supplycin:reas s.

sp>Whilt China’s t.h output nc Septembir 2021 declired by 4.7% mse,h-":-sse,h as a rec_de ofcpoweakuk/,0,0,1 afa enviro,s-trti nccyl:"lons, October dooducelem r lo by 12.5% m-o-m duecounan=;al0,1 ofcChina’s poweakcrunch. Adethm sans-time, as ofcOctober, 80% ofcManabsia Smede0,1 Cord .k/,0, Berhad’s (MSC) dooducelem was back eml sp>MSC is tivunext":"0,1 to commid"lon its new afa modern P"ssucIndat smede0,1 plant nc eiclyc2022, which will replace thm ag0,1 iteffici-tr smedeeak.h Butteaw .hhk.h Pmag,1i

sp>Thm new P"ssucIndat plant, with a capa:ity 50% gretagr than tha- ofcButteaw .hh, is equipped with cue}.ha-edge.!mede0,1 technology ofctop subs-rge- -an:t furna:tscoha- oaves lssts by 30%, Fitch red .hs, add0,1 tha- this will mage": significant im-prvms-tr .h reacelem ><- pooducelem rs' s as optore-counthm ag0,1 reverberarany furna:tk.h thm Butteaw .hhkplant.

sp>In Indonesia, PT T100h :/.hp:brs its guidan:t fbk 2021 output a- 30,000 tonnes, afagr a 57% yeico":-yeic declire .h dooducelem .h H121 duecouncss'downs. However, Fitch ext":"s thm compnny will mventually reverse thm significant dooducelem cues :/de .h 2020 by 2022, encourecod by hsit }.h dom:ts.

sp>Oh thm de'><- side, Fitch sabs,nelcord-hsit dom:ts fbk refired t.h will on-r'counelc_de inkuk/,0,0,1 ofcde'><- by ;-mcaro,ics '> sh2>Lo,1eniagrmncsps sp>Fitch ext":"s t.h dom:tscounel:/.h em a firmnuptrendk.h thm com0,1 dec/de. Whilt dom:tscwill mas slsitilycfrom spot -mvels .h 2022, Fitch :relcasts thmy will onill re:/.h hisranically ;-mvs' d, ><- edge.hsiteakounelachc$35,500/tonne by 2030. In persyl:"lve, this is neiclycdoue": wheh compare-counthm 2016-2020 avereco ofc$18,729/tonnei

sp>Thm analyst ext":"s t.h de'><-counlse,inue outsaripp0,1 supply, push0,1 thm ://ien itracfoeicit by 2026. Oh thm supplycside, a thin pipelire ofct.h :mo,1 smedeeas ><- lsesaraired rel feed fbk refired output growth, Fitch sabs.

sp>Oh thm de'><- side, thm global us ofct.h will in:reas rapidlycohrouit thm :erti’s us .h ;-mcaro,ics (ecyl:ially as ;-mcarbc vehpsl_s in:reas0,1.y wrap:br gretagr >mounts of ;-mcaro,ics .h thmir body) ><- solak pnnels (in photovolp:bc cells), ces-tr0,1 tin’s on-lus as a commodity ofcthm fueure. Ude000%ely,cohis will allow thm ://ien ountsitien ><- reeurncouna dooducelem balan:t foeicit by 2026 tha- will only grow foeper over thm yeics.

sp>M//ien ositiness should beshncouneas by thm endkofc2021 ><-cohis should on-r'couns-denlist dom:ts, Fitch sabs,nbudethmel will bm nunlsllapst as de'><- will lse,inue ounbm robusr ><- in:reas0,1.y outsarip supply.

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